Six-fold growth this year
Beancounters at iSuppli have been shuffling their tarot cards
and are convinced that the Chinese 3G market will grow by six times
More than 42.97 million units are going to fly off the shelves in 2010,
up from 7.2 million in 2009, according to iSuppli. The research firm
attributed the significant growth to aggressive subsidies from wireless
"Chinese carriers plan to provide more than $7.3 billion, worth of
subsidies to promote the domestic 3G handset market in 2010," said
Kevin Wang, director of China research at iSuppli. "Because of
particularly strong subsidies, phones using the TD-SCDMA air standard
that is backed by the Chinese government will generate the bulk of
growth in 2010."
Domestic shipments of TD-SCDMA phones in China will rise to 20.4
million units in 2010, up from 1.3 million in 2009, according to Wang.
iSuppli believes that over the next five years, ongoing voice service
fee reductions and declines in ASPs for handsets will assure the
continued growth of China's mobile subscribers.
By the end of 2014, iSuppli forecasts that Chinese wireless subscribers
will grow to 1.1 billion people, with 3G subscribers to reach 230
Oddly one of the market drivers will be mobile TV based around China's
CMMB standard. More than 230 cities had CMMB signals in China by the
end of 2009.